12 Days to Collapse Of the Auto Induetry Failure in the Global Economy

The Japanese earthquake and Tsunami on Friday March 11 2011 2:46 Pm local time devastated the eastern coastal areas of a 250 mile swath of the country, as well as having a major impact on the rest of the country. This caused power outages, travel stoppages and massive disruption of normal business in addition to the thousands of dead and injured all over the country.
But this is not about the loss of life and the devastating effect to the people of Japan, though they have our prayers. This is about the lay off and shut down of effected industry’s in the US and around the world A mere 12 days since the events and many companies are without parts to run their assembly lines, All the car makers in America and Europe, Sony, Hitachi, even the highly anticipated Apple I pad 2 has been effected and is in short supply.
Think about this, while a significant event, this really only impacted one country, and yet due to the nature of just in time inventory, if it’s not just in time you’re in trouble.

A single point failure is defined as: Element or part of a system for which no backup (redundancy) exists and the failure of which will disable the entire system.

The global  economy has not served to lessen our risks of failure, in reality each part is so very dependent on the other , “we don’t even know” how all the interdependencies affect  one another, and  we can’t even calculate the possible damage or the effect of one country’s infrastructure or economy being removed , even for such a short time.

Before and After Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant pictures

Fukushima Daiichi power plant, before the 9.0 earthquake and Tsunami.

After





Digital Globes Before and after satellite images

" On March 14, 2011 between 11:00 and 11:04 AM local time (02:00 and 02:04 GMT), DigitalGlobe’s constellation imaged

the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant twice--approximately 1 minute before (see page 5) and approximately 3

minutes after (see slides 6,7 & 8) an explosion at the No. 3 reactor building. This is the second major explosion seen at the

facility, following the explosion at the No. 1 reactor building on March 12, 2011 (see page 4).

Substantial damage could be seen to the reactor building, including the upper structure being largely destroyed with the

building’s roof and side panels blown off. In addition, an extensive smoke and dust plume could be seen drifting east

approximately 2 kilometers from the damaged reactor building." 

Consequences’ of the end of oil

This is a three part report on the predicted impacts of peak oil to society and the world economies. The report while couched in the jargon of the scientific academia is terrifying in its implications. This scholarly article is a joint effort between two highly respected organizations.

Feasta, a leading international think-tank exploring the interactions between human welfare, the structure and operation of human systems, and the ecosystem which supports both, and,


The Risk/Resilience Network, an initiative which was established in order to understand energy induced systemic risk, the scope for risk management, and general and emergency planning.

For god,s sake at least look at the summary of the report

This paper talks about the likely systemic impacts of peak oil, including the possibility of collapse. With a long publication such as this, it is difficult to know how to present a reasonable subset of the material. In this post, we are publishing the Summary as Part 1. Our tentative plan is to publish three additional excerpts from the paper later. Those who wish to read the paper now can download it from the link .


The lead author of this publication is David Korowicz. You may remember him for his talk at the Oil Drum/ASPO Conference at Alkatraz, Italy last summer called Things Fall Apart: Complexity, Supply Chains, Infrastructure & Collapse.

Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production - Part 1 - Summary (report excerpt)


by Gail Tverberg

For Example : The credit crisis exemplifies society's difficulties in the timely management of risks outside our experience or immediate concerns.  TRANSLATION people and society cannot handel events outside its immediat experiance AKA dident see it comming now were screwed, save me save me.

As individuals, and as a social species we put up huge psychological defences to protect the status quo. We've heard this doom prophesied for decades, all is still well! What about technology? Rising energy prices will bring more oil! We need a Green New Deal! We still have time! We’re busy with a financial crisis! This is depressing! If this were important, everybody would be talking about it!
TRANSLATION Its always been that way my daddy, mydaddies daddy  have been living the fat happy good life and so will I.

Global Warming Is dead here comes Global Cooling

Global cooling trends combine with volcanic eruptions in Iceland to create a more massive and devastating impact. Cooling is much more devastating than warming to society at large combined with the ever dwindling supply of oil and the devastating impact to agriculture the trends clearly show that the earth has in fact been cooling over all, for the last ten years not warming as previously predicated by the IPCC and the greens. Again the issue has been what is new and sexy and can be used to the greatest political and emotional impact. The scientific community has again failed us because of the desire to manipulate data to support their views in order to obtain funding for their own pet projects, and we have suffered for their arrogance and greed.

The potential eruption of Iceland's volcano Katla would likely send the world, including the USA, into an extended deep freeze.


"When Katla went off in the 1700s, the USA suffered a very cold winter," says Gary Hufford, a scientist with the Alaska Region of the National Weather Service. "To the point, the Mississippi River froze just north of New Orleans and the East Coast, especially New England, had an extremely cold winter.



Twelve-month long drop in world temperatures wipes out a century of warming


Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile -- the list goes on and on.

No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously

Clinton Warns Of Iranian Threat

A story on the National terror alert web page warns us of the effects of  EMP over the U.S.


An EMP is a broadband, high-intensity, short-duration burst of electromagnetic energy.


In military terminology, an EMP bomb detonated hundreds of kilometers above the earth's surface is known as a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) device.

Electromagnetic Pulse Still a Risk Three days ago, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said it could take months for new UN sanctions against Iran. Today, The Wall Street Journal reports that, in addition to China, the Obama administration is increasingly worried about gaining the support of other members of the U.N. Security Council


Effectively, the U.S. would be thrown back to the pre-industrial age following a widespread EMP attack.”Congress has already begun to address this threat. They created the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse EMP Attack, who has since issued reports in 2004 and 2008. The Commission concluded: “EMP is one of a small number of threats that can hold our society at risk of catastrophic consequences.”

Basically a nuclear detonation produces an EMP it acts like a giant wave and travels line of sight which with a ground burst limits the effects of EMP to about 15 miles. With an air burst an emp can affect a much larger area the higher you are the greater the line of sight. The direct damage cause by the blast of nuclear detonation in the upper atmosphere would zero, radiation would be minimal and would be quickly dispersed. The damage comes from the elector magnetic wave traveling at light speed, the wave travels so fast and with so much electromagnetic energy that it shorts everything in its path and I mean everything. As few as 3 HEMP detonations could effectively blanket the whole country taking down the grid and making every electrical component of modern life a paper weight.

All of this would happen instantly just milliseconds from detonation. Planes would fall from the sky every car and truck would stop in its tracks gas water and electricity would cease to flow. Only hardened electrical devices would survive and not all of those, this means no help from the government the military or from anyone within line of sight of the blast.

Portions or even all of the U.S could be instantly transported back to 1880’s technology with none of the infrastructure or technology in place or more importantly the general knowledge to live without our modern devices. The secondary effect of this would be millions of deaths from starvation and from the lack of shelter and medical care; this doesn’t even consider the effects of the possible breakdown of social order.

This is really a very simple and easy way to take out a country or several countries it’s low cost and can be done with a limited technological base it just requires a very few or even one nuclear weapon lofted into the upper atmosphere.

An attack such as this has been studied and reported to congress as usual they have ignored the warnings and in reality it would be very hard to stop such an attack if well planned and executed with the covert assistance of any of the major or even not so major powers.

If you haven’t heard of it theirs a novel that came out last year by William Forstchen called “One second after” it’s a decent read and uses the premise of just such an attack on the U.S. as the basis for the story. Check it out.

PSA Announcement From FEMA

This commercial now airing on TV shows a family grabbing a bug out bag and heading out the door it then directs you to a web site http://www.ready.gov/where FEMA has more detailed information on how to plan and prepare for an emergency. This is a little disturbing it reminds me of the old emergency alert films we used to watch in school about what to do during a nuclear attack. Surely if FEMA is putting out this information then there are indeed threats to prepare for. The video is called emergency preparedness the world upside down its on you tube